Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.024098 0.025912 0.027805 0.029928 0.032246 0.034704 0.037511
2025-01-12 0.020703 0.023224 0.025989 0.029256 0.033022 0.037242 0.042348
2025-01-19 0.018931 0.021929 0.025344 0.029544 0.034596 0.040514 0.048020
2025-01-26 0.017449 0.020734 0.024594 0.029497 0.035605 0.043026 0.052819
2025-02-02 0.016469 0.020005 0.024272 0.029846 0.037009 0.046001 0.058300
2025-02-09 0.015372 0.019024 0.023529 0.029560 0.037517 0.047797 0.062306
2025-02-16 0.014502 0.018250 0.022969 0.029427 0.038159 0.049740 0.066574
2025-02-23 0.013704 0.017507 0.022383 0.029191 0.038605 0.051398 0.070510
2025-03-02 0.013079 0.016947 0.021991 0.029169 0.039307 0.053408 0.075039
2025-03-09 0.012382 0.016244 0.021360 0.028764 0.039424 0.054567 0.078361
2025-03-16 0.011701 0.015527 0.020666 0.028218 0.039285 0.055317 0.081083
2025-03-23 0.011175 0.014994 0.020193 0.027952 0.039519 0.056604 0.084684
2025-03-30 0.010675 0.014477 0.019723 0.027669 0.039720 0.057863 0.088358
2025-04-06 0.010112 0.013846 0.019060 0.027063 0.039390 0.058275 0.090677
2025-04-13 0.009851 0.013634 0.018986 0.027327 0.040399 0.060826 0.096704
2025-04-20 0.009520 0.013305 0.018724 0.027284 0.040916 0.062609 0.101543
2025-04-27 0.009313 0.013145 0.018701 0.027603 0.042016 0.065392 0.108318
2025-05-04 0.008964 0.012760 0.018322 0.027342 0.042154 0.066574 0.112315
2025-05-11 0.008674 0.012451 0.018043 0.027221 0.042508 0.068131 0.117095
2025-05-18 0.008378 0.012121 0.017717 0.027006 0.042689 0.069388 0.121397
2025-05-25 0.008147 0.011880 0.017518 0.026985 0.043191 0.071229 0.126939
2025-06-01 0.007846 0.011521 0.017120 0.026617 0.043069 0.071942 0.130326
2025-06-08 0.007533 0.011132 0.016657 0.026119 0.042693 0.072165 0.132744